Research Article 2026-04-20 under-review v1

Agroclimatic shifts and water stress adaptation in the agricultural landscape of the middle Gangetic plains: insights from Bihar, India

A
Abdus Sattar Dr Rajendra Prasad Central Agricultural University
B
Biswajit Pramanick Dr Rajendra Prasad Central Agricultural University
R
Ratnesh Kumar Jha Dr Rajendra Prasad Central Agricultural University
S
Santanu Kumar Bal Central Research Institute for Dryland Agriculture
G
Gulab Singh Dr Rajendra Prasad Central Agricultural University
C
C Dharani Dr Rajendra Prasad Central Agricultural University
M
Mukesh Kumar Dr Rajendra Prasad Central Agricultural University
S
Sarvesh Kumar Dr Rajendra Prasad Central Agricultural University

Abstract

Agroclimatic shifts directly influence water availability, crop productivity, and food security in vulnerable regions. By characterizing rainfall variability, crop season onset, length of growing period (LGP), and water deficit in Bihar, this study provides actionable insights for optimizing water management and building climate-resilient agriculture in the Middle Gangetic Plains. The study analyzes rainfall data (1984–2003, 2004–2023) across 38 districts of Bihar (~7.95 mha cultivated area), integrating potential evapotranspiration and soil water-holding capacity using agroclimatic tools to evaluate spatial-temporal changes in key parameters. The results highlight substantial shifts in agroclimatic conditions of Bihar, including rainfall climatology, sowing onset, growing period length (LGP), and water surplus. During 2004–2023, compared to 1984–2003, most districts experienced delayed sowing onset and reduced LGP, with East Champaran recording the maximum reduction of 36 days. Water-stressed zones expanded considerably, particularly in northwestern Bihar, while even high-rainfall areas showed declining water surplus. Concurrently, water deficits increased across the state, signalling growing irrigation demand. These changes underscore the urgency of adaptive water management strategies to sustain agricultural productivity, enhance resilience, and ensure long-term food security in the Middle Gangetic Plains. Adaptation strategies in Bihar focus on diversified climate-smart cropping system revisions and water-smart technologies such as direct-seeded rice (DSR), alternate wetting and drying (AWD), precision land levelling, micro-irrigation, and residue mulching. The study highlights the urgent need to revisit and realign agricultural planning and policy decisions in light of the evolving agroclimatic realities.

Citation Information

@article{abdussattar2026,
  title={Agroclimatic shifts and water stress adaptation in the agricultural landscape of the middle Gangetic plains: insights from Bihar, India},
  author={Abdus Sattar and Biswajit Pramanick and Ratnesh Kumar Jha and Santanu Kumar Bal and Gulab Singh and C Dharani and Mukesh Kumar and Sarvesh Kumar},
  journal={Climatic Change},
  year={2026},
  doi={https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-8946700/v1}
}
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